Europe · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026

Portugal economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 2.4%, GDP growth of 2.3% and unemployment of 6.1% in Portugal.

Inflation

CPI, annual %

2.4%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 2.3%▲ +0.1 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

2.3%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 1.9%▲ +0.4 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

6.1%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 6.2%▼ −0.1 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$33,233

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $32,082▲ +3.6%

Population

Population, total

10.91M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 10.80M▲ +1.0%

USD/EUR

EUR per 1 USD

0.8897

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 0.8772▲ +1.4%

Portugal at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation2.3% 20252.4%2.4%2.5%
GDP growth1.9% 20252.3%2.3%2.3%
Unemployment6.2% 20256.1%6.0%6.0%
GDP per capita$32,082 2025$33,233$33,839$34,032
Population10.80M 202510.91M10.94M10.96M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.