Interest rates · 3 series
Interest rate forecasts
Forecasts for 3 US interest rates, 3, 6 and 12 months ahead, each with a median and an 80% range. Updated Sep 28, 2026 from FRED data.
Biggest projected 12-month moves: Fed funds rate (−0.02 pp) on the upside and US 10-year Treasury yield (−0.12 pp) on the downside. Filter by region, direction and size of the move below.
3 of 3 shown
| Series | Latest | In 3 moIn 6 moIn 12 mo | Change | 80% range | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed funds rateFed funds rateFed funds rate% per year, monthly average | 3.63%Aug 20263.63%Aug 20263.63%Aug 2026 | 3.67%3.66%3.61% | ▲ +0.04 pp▲ +0.03 pp▼ −0.02 pp | 3.37% – 3.95%3.13% – 4.12%2.55% – 4.53% | |
| US 10-year Treasury yieldUS 10-year Treasury yieldUS 10-year Treasury yield% per year | 5.17%Sep 25, 20265.17%Sep 25, 20265.17%Sep 25, 2026 | 5.14%5.09%5.05% | ▼ −0.03 pp▼ −0.08 pp▼ −0.12 pp | 4.60% – 5.75%4.37% – 6.01%3.92% – 6.36% | |
| US 2-year Treasury yieldUS 2-year Treasury yieldUS 2-year Treasury yield% per year | 4.81%Sep 25, 20264.81%Sep 25, 20264.81%Sep 25, 2026 | 4.80%4.78%4.74% | ▼ −0.01 pp▼ −0.03 pp▼ −0.07 pp | 4.04% – 5.45%3.80% – 5.68%3.50% – 6.10% |
Nothing matches these filters.
Change is measured from the latest value.
Statistical model, not financial advice. Medians and 80% ranges from TimesFM 2.5 on public data. Outcomes land outside the range about one time in five. How we test it.
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