Europe · World Bank data · updated Sep 28, 2026

Poland economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 5.4%, GDP growth of 3.6% and unemployment of 3.0% in Poland.

Inflation

CPI, annual %

5.4%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 3.8%▲ +1.5 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

3.6%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 3.6%■ 0.0 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

3.0%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 3.0%■ 0.0 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$30,019

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $28,420▲ +5.6%

Population

Population, total

36.28M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 36.44M▼ −0.4%

Poland at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation3.8% 20255.4%5.4%5.6%
GDP growth3.6% 20253.6%3.8%4.1%
Unemployment3.0% 20253.0%3.2%3.4%
GDP per capita$28,420 2025$30,019$30,774$31,557
Population36.44M 202536.28M36.14M36.00M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.