Currencies forecast · FRED data
EUR/USD forecast
Euro to US dollar exchange rate: USD per 1 EUR
Last close · Sep 25, 2026
1.1400
EUR/USD is forecast at 1.1240 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 0.9819 to 1.2158. The last close was 1.1400 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of −1.4%.
Along the way, the median is 1.1363 in 3 months and 1.1313 in 6 months.
A higher value means a stronger euro: more US dollars per EUR.
- 3 monthsDec 2026
- 1.1363▼ −0.3%80%: 1.0849 – 1.1803
- 6 monthsMar 2027
- 1.1313▼ −0.8%80%: 1.0551 – 1.1923
- 12 monthsSep 2027
- 1.1240▼ −1.4%80%: 0.9819 – 1.2158
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.0320 | 0.0315 | 82% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.0462 | 0.0457 | 74% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.0591 | 0.0555 | 85% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1.1400 | +0.24% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 1.1373 | −0.18% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 1.1394 | −0.33% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 1.1432 | −0.32% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 1.1469 | +0.04% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1.1464 | −0.13% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 1.1479 | −0.51% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 1.1538 | −0.03% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 1.1542 | −0.06% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 1.1549 | −0.47% |
About this forecast
- Source
- FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXUSEU
- Data through
- Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
Other currency forecasts
All 19Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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