Population forecast · World Bank data
Poland population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
36.44M
The population of Poland is forecast at 36.28M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 35.96M to 36.33M. The latest World Bank figure is 36.44M for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 36.14M and 36.00M (−1.2% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 months2025
- 36.36M▼ −0.2%80%: 36.20M – 36.38M
- 12 months2026
- 36.28M▼ −0.4%80%: 35.96M – 36.33M
- 24 months2027
- 36.14M▼ −0.8%80%: 35.67M – 36.30M
- 36 months2028
- 36.00M▼ −1.2%80%: 35.36M – 36.27M
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.10M | 0.22M | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.17M | 0.38M | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | 0.34M | 0.55M | 67% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36.44M | −0.34% |
| 2024 | 36.56M | −0.35% |
| 2023 | 36.69M | −0.36% |
| 2022 | 36.82M | −0.43% |
| 2021 | 36.98M | −1.42% |
| 2020 | 37.52M | −1.18% |
| 2019 | 37.97M | −0.02% |
| 2018 | 37.97M | −0.00% |
| 2017 | 37.97M | +0.01% |
| 2016 | 37.97M | −0.04% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Poland
Poland overviewOther population forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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