GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
China GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$13,862
GDP per capita in China is forecast at $13,926 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $12,842 to $15,162. The latest World Bank figure is $13,862 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $14,338 and $14,353 (+3.5% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $13,894▲ +0.2%80%: $13,352 – $14,512
- 12 months2026
- $13,926▲ +0.5%80%: $12,842 – $15,162
- 24 months2027
- $14,338▲ +3.4%80%: $12,481 – $16,164
- 36 months2028
- $14,353▲ +3.5%80%: $11,919 – $16,670
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $752 | $655 | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | $960 | $910 | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | $1,319 | $1,207 | 67% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $13,862 | +4.28% |
| 2024 | $13,293 | +2.64% |
| 2023 | $12,951 | −0.15% |
| 2022 | $12,971 | +0.65% |
| 2021 | $12,887 | +21.27% |
| 2020 | $10,627 | +2.75% |
| 2019 | $10,343 | +2.55% |
| 2018 | $10,086 | +12.32% |
| 2017 | $8,980 | +8.78% |
| 2016 | $8,255 | +0.97% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for China
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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