Asia-Pacific · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026

China economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 0.3%, GDP growth of 5.4% and unemployment of 4.6% in China.

Inflation

CPI, annual %

0.3%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 0.1%▲ +0.2 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

5.4%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 5.0%▲ +0.4 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

4.6%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 4.6%■ 0.0 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$13,926

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $13,862▲ +0.5%

Population

Population, total

1.40B

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 1.41B▼ −0.1%

USD/CNY

CNY per 1 USD

6.7703

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 6.7110▲ +0.9%

China at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation0.1% 20250.3%0.4%0.7%
GDP growth5.0% 20255.4%5.9%6.1%
Unemployment4.6% 20254.6%4.6%4.6%
GDP per capita$13,862 2025$13,926$14,338$14,353
Population1.41B 20251.40B1.40B1.40B

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

Other countries in Asia-Pacific

All countries

Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.