Inflation forecast · World Bank data
Sweden inflation forecast
Inflation (CPI, annual %)
Latest · 2025
0.7%
Inflation in Sweden is forecast at 1.5% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of −0.4% to 4.7%. The latest World Bank figure is 0.7% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 1.6% and 1.7% (+1.0 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 1.1%▲ +0.4 pp80%: 0.1% – 2.7%
- 12 months2026
- 1.5%▲ +0.8 pp80%: −0.4% – 4.7%
- 24 months2027
- 1.6%▲ +0.9 pp80%: −0.5% – 5.2%
- 36 months2028
- 1.7%▲ +1.0 pp80%: −0.5% – 5.6%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 3.68 pp | 3.18 pp | 40% |
| 24 months | 4 | 5.65 pp | 6.91 pp | 25% |
| 36 months | 3 | 4.20 pp | 5.47 pp | 33% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.7% | −2.16 pp |
| 2024 | 2.8% | −5.71 pp |
| 2023 | 8.5% | +0.18 pp |
| 2022 | 8.4% | +6.21 pp |
| 2021 | 2.2% | +1.67 pp |
| 2020 | 0.5% | −1.29 pp |
| 2019 | 1.8% | −0.17 pp |
| 2018 | 2.0% | +0.16 pp |
| 2017 | 1.8% | +0.81 pp |
| 2016 | 1.0% | +1.03 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Sweden
Sweden overviewOther inflation forecasts
All 39Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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