Inflation forecast · World Bank data
Chile inflation forecast
Inflation (CPI, annual %)
Latest · 2025
4.2%
Inflation in Chile is forecast at 3.9% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 1.7% to 12.1%. The latest World Bank figure is 4.2% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 4.2% and 3.9% (−0.3 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 4.0%▼ −0.2 pp80%: 2.9% – 8.2%
- 12 months2026
- 3.9%▼ −0.3 pp80%: 1.7% – 12.1%
- 24 months2027
- 4.2%■ 0.0 pp80%: 1.9% – 12.4%
- 36 months2028
- 3.9%▼ −0.3 pp80%: 1.0% – 13.0%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 2.70 pp | 3.21 pp | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 5.10 pp | 5.59 pp | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | 4.15 pp | 4.06 pp | 67% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.2% | −0.08 pp |
| 2024 | 4.3% | −3.28 pp |
| 2023 | 7.6% | −4.06 pp |
| 2022 | 11.6% | +7.12 pp |
| 2021 | 4.5% | +1.48 pp |
| 2020 | 3.0% | +0.49 pp |
| 2019 | 2.6% | +0.12 pp |
| 2018 | 2.4% | +0.25 pp |
| 2017 | 2.2% | −1.60 pp |
| 2016 | 3.8% | −0.56 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 55 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Chile
Chile overviewOther inflation forecasts
All 39Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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