Inflation forecast · World Bank data
South Africa inflation forecast
Inflation (CPI, annual %)
Latest · 2025
3.2%
Inflation in South Africa is forecast at 4.1% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 1.6% to 7.1%. The latest World Bank figure is 3.2% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 4.8% and 5.0% (+1.8 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 3.7%▲ +0.5 pp80%: 2.4% – 5.2%
- 12 months2026
- 4.1%▲ +0.9 pp80%: 1.6% – 7.1%
- 24 months2027
- 4.8%▲ +1.5 pp80%: 1.7% – 8.5%
- 36 months2028
- 5.0%▲ +1.8 pp80%: 1.3% – 9.2%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 1.31 pp | 1.53 pp | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 2.12 pp | 2.70 pp | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 2.07 pp | 2.31 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.2% | −1.16 pp |
| 2024 | 4.4% | −1.71 pp |
| 2023 | 6.1% | −0.96 pp |
| 2022 | 7.0% | +2.42 pp |
| 2021 | 4.6% | +1.39 pp |
| 2020 | 3.2% | −0.87 pp |
| 2019 | 4.1% | −0.41 pp |
| 2018 | 4.5% | −0.68 pp |
| 2017 | 5.2% | −1.42 pp |
| 2016 | 6.6% | +2.08 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series FP.CPI.TOTL.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for South Africa
South Africa overviewOther inflation forecasts
All 39Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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