GDP per capita forecast · World Bank data
Mexico GDP per capita forecast
GDP per capita (current US$)
Latest · 2025
$13,889
GDP per capita in Mexico is forecast at $13,654 in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of $11,902 to $15,878. The latest World Bank figure is $13,889 for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects $13,780 and $13,919 (+0.2% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- $13,771▼ −0.8%80%: $12,896 – $14,884
- 12 months2026
- $13,654▼ −1.7%80%: $11,902 – $15,878
- 24 months2027
- $13,780▼ −0.8%80%: $11,535 – $16,571
- 36 months2028
- $13,919▲ +0.2%80%: $11,162 – $17,197
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | $1,481 | $1,049 | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | $2,656 | $2,180 | 50% |
| 36 months | 3 | $3,932 | $3,716 | 0% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $13,889 | −0.71% |
| 2024 | $13,988 | +1.14% |
| 2023 | $13,831 | +21.26% |
| 2022 | $11,406 | +10.59% |
| 2021 | $10,314 | +16.66% |
| 2020 | $8,841 | −14.74% |
| 2019 | $10,370 | +2.82% |
| 2018 | $10,085 | +4.51% |
| 2017 | $9,649 | +6.06% |
| 2016 | $9,098 | −9.21% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.PCAP.CD
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Mexico
Mexico overviewOther GDP per capita forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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