GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Turkey GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
3.6%
GDP growth in Turkey is forecast at 5.3% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 0.3% to 10.0%. The latest World Bank figure is 3.6% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 5.0% and 4.4% (+0.8 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 4.5%▲ +0.9 pp80%: 1.9% – 6.8%
- 12 months2026
- 5.3%▲ +1.7 pp80%: 0.3% – 10.0%
- 24 months2027
- 5.0%▲ +1.4 pp80%: −0.2% – 9.7%
- 36 months2028
- 4.4%▲ +0.8 pp80%: −0.8% – 9.3%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 2.26 pp | 3.75 pp | 80% |
| 24 months | 4 | 1.17 pp | 3.49 pp | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 1.28 pp | 4.52 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6% | +0.28 pp |
| 2024 | 3.3% | −1.72 pp |
| 2023 | 5.0% | −0.40 pp |
| 2022 | 5.4% | −6.37 pp |
| 2021 | 11.8% | +10.01 pp |
| 2020 | 1.8% | +0.50 pp |
| 2019 | 1.3% | −2.17 pp |
| 2018 | 3.5% | −4.36 pp |
| 2017 | 7.8% | +4.50 pp |
| 2016 | 3.3% | −2.48 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Turkey
Turkey overviewOther GDP growth forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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