GDP growth forecast · World Bank data
Indonesia GDP growth forecast
GDP growth (annual %)
Latest · 2025
5.1%
GDP growth in Indonesia is forecast at 5.0% in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 3.4% to 6.1%. The latest World Bank figure is 5.1% for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 5.0% and 5.1% (0.0 pp versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 5.1%▼ −0.1 pp80%: 4.2% – 5.6%
- 12 months2026
- 5.0%▼ −0.1 pp80%: 3.4% – 6.1%
- 24 months2027
- 5.0%▼ −0.1 pp80%: 3.2% – 6.1%
- 36 months2028
- 5.1%■ 0.0 pp80%: 3.1% – 6.4%
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.27 pp | 1.54 pp | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.47 pp | 2.26 pp | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 0.24 pp | 2.88 pp | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened (percentage points); naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.1% | +0.08 pp |
| 2024 | 5.0% | −0.02 pp |
| 2023 | 5.0% | −0.26 pp |
| 2022 | 5.3% | +1.60 pp |
| 2021 | 3.7% | +5.77 pp |
| 2020 | −2.1% | −7.08 pp |
| 2019 | 5.0% | −0.16 pp |
| 2018 | 5.2% | +0.10 pp |
| 2017 | 5.1% | +0.04 pp |
| 2016 | 5.0% | +0.16 pp |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG
- Data through
- 2025 · 65 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Indonesia
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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