Population forecast · World Bank data
India population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
1.46B
The population of India is forecast at 1.48B in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 1.47B to 1.50B. The latest World Bank figure is 1.46B for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 1.48B and 1.50B (+2.1% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 months2025
- 1.47B▲ +0.5%80%: 1.47B – 1.48B
- 12 months2026
- 1.48B▲ +0.9%80%: 1.47B – 1.50B
- 24 months2027
- 1.48B▲ +1.4%80%: 1.47B – 1.50B
- 36 months2028
- 1.50B▲ +2.1%80%: 1.48B – 1.51B
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 3.80M | 12.25M | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 3.66M | 24.49M | 100% |
| 36 months | 3 | 3.59M | 36.88M | 100% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.46B | +0.89% |
| 2024 | 1.45B | +0.89% |
| 2023 | 1.44B | +0.89% |
| 2022 | 1.43B | +0.79% |
| 2021 | 1.41B | +0.83% |
| 2020 | 1.40B | +0.98% |
| 2019 | 1.39B | +1.05% |
| 2018 | 1.37B | +1.10% |
| 2017 | 1.36B | +1.17% |
| 2016 | 1.34B | +1.20% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for India
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All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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