Currencies forecast · FRED data
USD/BRL forecast
US dollar to Brazilian real exchange rate: BRL per 1 USD
Last close · Sep 25, 2026
5.1921
USD/BRL is forecast at 5.1947 in 12 months (Sep 2027), with an 80% range of 4.7397 to 5.8309. The last close was 5.1921 on Sep 25, 2026, so the median implies a change of 0.0%.
Along the way, the median is 5.1834 in 3 months and 5.1850 in 6 months.
A higher value means a stronger US dollar: more Brazilian reais per USD.
- 3 monthsDec 2026
- 5.1834▼ −0.2%80%: 4.9350 – 5.4748
- 6 monthsMar 2027
- 5.1850▼ −0.1%80%: 4.8554 – 5.6026
- 12 monthsSep 2027
- 5.1947■ 0.0%80%: 4.7397 – 5.8309
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 months | 57 | 0.2063 | 0.2003 | 89% |
| 6 months | 54 | 0.3118 | 0.2953 | 85% |
| 12 months | 48 | 0.4077 | 0.4191 | 85% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Date | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | 5.1921 | −0.06% |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 5.1953 | +0.91% |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 5.1483 | +0.73% |
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5.1111 | +0.01% |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 5.1107 | −0.95% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 5.1596 | +0.13% |
| Sep 17, 2026 | 5.1528 | +0.20% |
| Sep 16, 2026 | 5.1424 | −0.14% |
| Sep 15, 2026 | 5.1498 | −0.03% |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 5.1516 | +0.99% |
About this forecast
- Source
- FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis · series DEXBZUS
- Data through
- Sep 25, 2026 · 6,703 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
Other currency forecasts
All 19Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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