Population forecast · World Bank data
Netherlands population forecast
Population, total
Latest · 2025
18.09M
The population of the Netherlands is forecast at 18.25M in 12 months (2026), with an 80% range of 18.08M to 18.56M. The latest World Bank figure is 18.09M for 2025.
In 24 months (2027) and 36 months (2028) the model projects 18.29M and 18.41M (+1.8% versus 2025).
Display-only line. World Bank data is annual: the forecasts are the yearly points marked on the chart. The monthly line between them is a straight-line interpolation for display, not a monthly forecast.
- 6 monthsinterpolated · display only
- 18.17M▲ +0.4%80%: 18.08M – 18.32M
- 12 months2026
- 18.25M▲ +0.9%80%: 18.08M – 18.56M
- 24 months2027
- 18.29M▲ +1.1%80%: 17.77M – 18.52M
- 36 months2028
- 18.41M▲ +1.8%80%: 17.89M – 18.89M
Backtest · last 5 years
How accurate has this been?
| Horizon | Tests | Avg. error | Naive error | In 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 months | 5 | 0.07M | 0.13M | 100% |
| 24 months | 4 | 0.11M | 0.28M | 75% |
| 36 months | 3 | 0.18M | 0.43M | 33% |
We re-ran the model as if standing at past dates, using only the data available then. Avg. error is the mean absolute gap between the median and what happened; naive assumes no change from the last value. A well-calibrated 80% range contains about 80% of outcomes. Annual series have few test points, so treat these as rough. Methodology
Source data
Recent values
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18.09M | +0.52% |
| 2024 | 17.99M | +0.65% |
| 2023 | 17.88M | +1.00% |
| 2022 | 17.70M | +0.96% |
| 2021 | 17.53M | +0.52% |
| 2020 | 17.44M | +0.56% |
| 2019 | 17.34M | +0.66% |
| 2018 | 17.23M | +0.59% |
| 2017 | 17.13M | +0.59% |
| 2016 | 17.03M | +0.53% |
About this forecast
- Source
- World Bank, World Development Indicators · series SP.POP.TOTL
- Data through
- 2025 · 66 observations
- Forecast updated
- Sep 28, 2026
- Model
- TimesFM 2.5 (Google Research, Apache-2.0), zero-shot
More forecasts for Netherlands
Netherlands overviewOther population forecasts
All 40Statistical model, not financial advice. This forecast is generated automatically from public data; the 80% range means outcomes are expected outside it about one time in five. Don't make financial decisions based only on it.
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