Americas · World Bank + FRED data · updated Sep 28, 2026

Canada economy forecast

For 2026 the model expects inflation of 2.2%, GDP growth of 2.4% and unemployment of 6.6% in Canada.

Inflation

CPI, annual %

2.2%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 2.1%▲ +0.1 pp

GDP growth

Annual %

2.4%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 1.7%▲ +0.7 pp

Unemployment

% of labor force, ILO modeled

6.6%

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 6.9%▼ −0.3 pp

GDP per capita

Current US$

$56,689

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: $55,698▲ +1.8%

Population

Population, total

42.07M

2026 forecast

Latest · 2025: 41.65M▲ +1.0%

USD/CAD

CAD per 1 USD

1.3861

in 12 months

Last close · Sep 25, 2026: 1.4140▼ −2.0%

Canada at a glance, 2026–2028

IndicatorLatest202620272028
Inflation2.1% 20252.2%2.1%2.4%
GDP growth1.7% 20252.4%2.4%2.4%
Unemployment6.9% 20256.6%6.6%6.5%
GDP per capita$55,698 2025$56,689$56,851$57,138
Population41.65M 202542.07M42.40M42.69M

Medians; each indicator's page shows its 80% range and backtest.

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Statistical model, not financial advice. Forecasts are automatic outputs of TimesFM 2.5 on public data; outcomes land outside the 80% range about one time in five.